Brief analysis

Difficulties, Costs and Risks of Establishing a Secure Zone in Syria for Turkey and an Alternative

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Abstract: Turkey wants to establish a “secure zone” inside Syrian
border to push back and protect itself against PKK. US wants a “buffer
zone” which, in effect, will protect PKK from Turkey.  Another
posibility is PKK making a deal with Damascus. A unilateral Turkish
move will have considerable difficullties, costs and risks. Buffer
zone and PKK-Assad deal may come in very different shapes. It may be
beter for Ankara to use its credible threat of force to shape these
other two alternatives to its interests. It is not easy, nor cost-free
and clean-cut but it may still be better than confronting all the
important actors with a risky move.


Full text in Turkish:

Shanlı Bahadır Koch

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