Among respondents from Kyrgyzstan, 36 percent and 34 percent answered that war will have a somewhat negative or very negative impact on their country, respectively. In addition, 35 percent and 20 percent of responders from Kazakhstan also answered that the war will have a somewhat negative or very negative impact on Kazakhstan.
People are mainly concerned about that how war will affect their daily life and purchasing power. High prices in Central Asia have already impacted the public opinion of Central Asian countries. According to the CAB Survey Wave 11 question, “Would you say that you were very concerned, somewhat concerned, somewhat unconcerned, or very unconcerned with high prices in our country?” 32.4 percent and 29.3 percent of the respondents from Uzbekistan said they were very concerned or somewhat concerned about the high prices, respectively. Similarly, 68.7 percent and 25.2 percent of respondents from Kazakhstan say they are very or somewhat concerned about high prices.
The main concern for the people of Central Asia is related to increasing prices of basic necessitates, such as food, clothing, gas, and so on. According to the CAB Survey Wave 11, 18.6 percent and 24.8 percent of respondents from Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan think that one of the negative consequences of war will be an increase in the prices of basic necessitates.
To sum up, despite a few positive surprises, the war’s negative impacts on regional economies outweigh any incidental benefits. The consequences of war and economic problems mainly overlap with Central Asian people’s economic concerns. In the short term, rising energy commodity prices may be a cushion for some Central Asian countries to decrease the negative effects of the war. However, in the medium term, growing uncertainty in the global economy and new sanction waves on Russia foresee challenges for Central Asian economies and unexpected external shocks.
Original Source: The Diplomat